How Does Hydrogen Fuel Cell Work?įCEVs are a type of electric vehicle that produces no emissions (aside from the environmental cost of production). In this infographic, we explain how the fuel cell electric vehicle (FCEV) works. Thankfully, BEVs are not the only solution for decarbonizing transportation. “The data shows a looming mismatch between the world’s strengthened climate ambitions and the availability of critical minerals.” Many fear that this could put a strain on supply. In order to meet global climate targets, however, the International Energy Agency claims that the auto industry will require 30 times more minerals per year. Meanwhile, in the U.S., the number of models available for sale is expected to double by 2024. This structural shift is moving at an incredible rate-in China, 3 million BEVs were sold in 2021, up from 1 million the previous year. Since the introduction of the Nissan Leaf (2010) and Tesla Model S (2012), battery-powered electric vehicles (BEVs) have become the primary focus of the automotive industry. Sign up to the free mailing list to get beautiful visualizations on natural resource megatrends in your email every week. However, the speed of the transition to electric vehicles will still be surprising to many detractors – and for now, barring an unexpected drop in the price of oil to below $30/bbl, there doesn’t seem to be any obstacle that will slow the adoption of EVs. Manufacturing processes are notoriously difficult to scale, and we still need to source the raw materials needed to fuel the green revolution. Will we wake up one morning with the auto market being flooded with new EVs, like in the aforementioned water drop analogy?Ĭertainly not. On the flipside, negative profit margins for electric vehicles will peak in 2023 as production continues to ramp, and EV making will switch to a profitable business by 2029. Morgan Stanley’s analysis sees the average profitability of combustion engine models falling through the early 2020s, eventually turning to a loss per unit by 2028. Meanwhile, the transition to electric will be a game-changer for carmakers. Using projections from Morgan Stanley, it shows that electric vehicle sales are expected to surpass those of traditional vehicles by 2038, while the global fleet of EVs is expected to surpass one billion by 2047. Today’s infographic comes to us from Raconteur, and it helps visualize anticipated growth in the electric vehicle market – a segment that sits at 1-2% of total vehicle sales currently. After 45 minutes the stadium is still 93% empty – but by 49 minutes, the entire stadium is full of water (and you’re swimming)! The Electric Vehicle Market When do you think the stadium is full of water? Does it take hours, days, or weeks?įor the first 30 minutes, not much seems to happen – there is a growing puddle, but it’s not likely something you can see from the very top seat. In the first minute a single drop of water falls, in the second minute there are two drops of water added, and in the third minute, there are four drops of water, and so on. In the middle of the stadium, there are drops of water falling at an increasing rate. Imagine a giant football stadium, and you are sitting in the very highest seat. One famous example of exponential growth is the water droplet and stadium analogy. This growth can lead to a paradigm shift and a new status quo, as well as massive opportunities along the way. One becomes two, two becomes four, and so on.īut if the environment is right, and the growth continues on, it can all of a sudden take over. That’s because at the beginning of such a phenomenon, the quantities involved can seem insignificant. It’s easy to dismiss exponential growth at its earliest stages. Visualizing the Rise of the Electric Vehicle
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